…the graphic below scares the bejeebers out of me. What it says is that there is a potential tsunami of commercial real estate foreclosures coming in the next couple of years that could quite possibly derail any hope we have for a sustained economic recovery. In fact, if the doomsayers are anywhere near correct, the US economy is in for a mighty big fall.
A recent report from the Congressional Oversight Panel (COP) apparently indicates that there are roughly 3000 small to mid-sized US banks that are projected to fail should the commercial property foreclosure rate maintain its current trend. The COP is “deeply concerned” that commercial real estate losses could jeopardize the stability of these banks and the damage will contribute to prolonged weakness throughout the economy, according to chair Elizabeth Warren.
This blog is devoted to understanding emerging trends, in business development, marketing and organizations, and to echoing the need for proactive leadership to drive positive change. From time to time there is something that comes across the net that points to a shift that could have massive implications on our personal and professional lives. I would classify the potential for a collapse in commercial real estate, to the tune of $160BN+ as being one of those.
What to do? Hmmm. Good question…
I would say to be abundantly aware, and to increase the rate of personal savings, which most of us have been already doing for some time now. Maybe the best advice would be to fine tune your gardening skills. If this hits the fan like some are prognosticating, the one with the biggest subsistence farm will be the winner…
Keep your eye on this in the coming quarters. If I hear or see something that indicates that these numbers are skewed or otherwise misinterpreted, I will pass it along. Will you do the same for me and the rest of us?















